Predicting Crashes & Crash Causes on Ohio Roadways

In 2006, the Ohio State Highway Patrol and the Statistical Consulting Service at Ohio State University began working together to develop a model for forecasting likely locations of fatal and injury crashes on Ohio roadways. The output of this forecasting model is intended to serve as a guide in determining optimal allocation of OSHP resources that will ultimately result in greater safety on Ohio roadways.

Links are provided to a number of reports generated with the model that examine overall crash rates across five time groups: 1) Monday through Thursday; 2) Saturday and Sunday; 3) Friday when the day is not a holiday or the last work-day before a long weekend; 4) the final work-day before a long weekend (three-day or four-day); and 5) holidays. The report also explores the crash rates over time by crash type: alcohol-related, speed-related, commercial vehicle-related, and youth-related. Charts, maps, and figures demonstrate the different patterns of crash rates on interstates, state routes, and US routes in Ohio.